Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.5
17.6 miles South-East of Calexico
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
17.6 miles South-East of Calexico
32.5131°N, 115.2685°W
Forecast Time Window
9th of June 2026
Jun 09, 2026 22:21:33 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.5
Predicted value
Focal Depth
8.4 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
931h 55m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
130.6 km
30.6 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
35.3 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.35
Predicted M3.45 vs actual M3.1
Depth Error
28.6 km
Pred. 8.4 km vs actual 20.2 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
65e0b9e5d522c1824e69a02985d77870bcfd974333be6276da05718f2690909b
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260501_192552_pred-32.51--115.27-20260609T2221
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 02, 2026 02:25:55 PST
Source Batch
20260501_192552_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:22.668540+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.