Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M4.0
57.6 miles South-West of Rancho Palos Verdes
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
57.6 miles South-West of Rancho Palos Verdes
33.0289°N, 118.8994°W
Forecast Time Window
25th of June 2026
Jun 25, 2026 01:31:47 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M4.0
Predicted value
Focal Depth
5.5 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
1295h 5m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
94.5 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
6.3 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
1.79
Predicted M3.99 vs actual M2.2
- 0.79 over limit
Depth Error
9.3 km
Pred. 5.5 km vs actual 3.8 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
38845fc724e2dff7754c03c3d522fbf20c4cd38742a90f631ab4f05f0b01fa9c
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260501_192552_pred-33.03--118.90-20260625T0131
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 02, 2026 02:25:55 PST
Source Batch
20260501_192552_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:22.668540+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.