Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
24.8 miles North-West of Primm
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
24.8 miles North-West of Primm
35.9357°N, 115.5746°W
Forecast Time Window
19th of June 2026
Jun 19, 2026 20:07:47 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
8.4 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
1169h 41m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
175.2 km
75.2 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
19.0 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.63
Predicted M3.23 vs actual M2.6
Depth Error
13.4 km
Pred. 8.4 km vs actual 5.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
e3a2643d7461f1b6d9e38bfdaaf6ed4bdf6504aaf564ce46ed357ddf1866d718
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260501_192552_pred-35.94--115.57-20260619T2007
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 02, 2026 02:25:55 PST
Source Batch
20260501_192552_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:22.668540+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.