Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
7.8 miles East of Weed Heights
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
7.8 miles East of Weed Heights
39.0118°N, 119.0147°W
Forecast Time Window
19th of June 2026
Jun 19, 2026 02:06:12 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
9.5 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
1151h 40m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
33.8 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
19.7 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
1.13
Predicted M3.23 vs actual M2.1
- 0.13 over limit
Depth Error
15.7 km
Pred. 9.5 km vs actual 6.2 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
edd9e0dc506141b1e458737b4c91e2022324a0f881c6c58ba05741de1d3df607
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260501_192552_pred-39.01--119.01-20260619T0206
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 02, 2026 02:25:55 PST
Source Batch
20260501_192552_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:22.668540+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.