Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
5002.5 miles North-East of Wendover
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
5002.5 miles North-East of Wendover
39.2409°N, 13.1861°W
Forecast Time Window
8th of May 2026
May 08, 2026 01:52:03 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
Predicted value
Focal Depth
9.1 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
137h 0m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
342.8 km
242.8 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
31.1 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.31
Predicted M2.39 vs actual M2.7
Depth Error
37.1 km
Pred. 9.1 km vs actual 28.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
dca41e374fc67b697fce4ab9ef032cfc58badf45b5cd5411d22661aa3f0da9a8
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260502_015152_pred-39.24--13.19-20260508T0152
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 02, 2026 08:51:55 PST
Source Batch
20260502_015152_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:15.493074+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.