Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.3
6.8 miles North of Westmorland
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
6.8 miles North of Westmorland
33.1320°N, 115.6546°W
Forecast Time Window
21st of June 2026
Jun 21, 2026 04:28:42 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.3
Predicted value
Focal Depth
0.1 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
1183h 36m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
76.3 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
2.7 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
1.32
Predicted M3.32 vs actual M2.0
- 0.32 over limit
Depth Error
11.2 km
Pred. 0.1 km vs actual 11.1 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
19d614a108c061c0878099e0136e0cbc444b84679ffa0413c7fcdfea67350904
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260502_135217_pred-33.13--115.65-20260621T0428
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 02, 2026 20:52:20 PST
Source Batch
20260502_135217_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:18.145470+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.