Permanent Prediction Record
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Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.4
1.8 miles South-East of Studio City
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
1.8 miles South-East of Studio City
34.1191°N, 118.3761°W
Forecast Time Window
26th of June 2026
Jun 26, 2026 13:27:20 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.4
Predicted value
Focal Depth
7.5 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
1296h 40m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
40.8 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
17.3 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
1.14
Predicted M3.44 vs actual M2.3
- 0.14 over limit
Depth Error
22.5 km
Pred. 7.5 km vs actual 15.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
c5ac7979e6afeb73eb9cd63d755a384d90f5dd04eaaf3e0dbbbc5b6f79027fe2
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260503_054621_pred-34.12--118.38-20260626T1327
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 03, 2026 12:46:24 PST
Source Batch
20260503_054621_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:12.883308+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.