Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.3
10.0 miles North-East of Taft
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
10.0 miles North-East of Taft
35.2478°N, 119.3366°W
Forecast Time Window
26th of June 2026
Jun 26, 2026 14:21:38 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.3
Predicted value
Focal Depth
9.6 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
1297h 35m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
220.8 km
120.8 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
20.4 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.83
Predicted M3.33 vs actual M2.5
Depth Error
25.9 km
Pred. 9.6 km vs actual 16.3 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
c5d64acef125ec411e58ae3e3d4dfddcd7a69aea27c34556f43122e489263366
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260503_054621_pred-35.25--119.34-20260626T1421
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 03, 2026 12:46:24 PST
Source Batch
20260503_054621_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:12.883308+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.