Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
32.4 miles North of Gabbs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
32.4 miles North of Gabbs
39.3326°N, 117.8118°W
Forecast Time Window
31st of May 2026
May 31, 2026 08:19:37 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
7.2 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
667h 33m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
149.5 km
49.5 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
3.0 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.92
Predicted M3.22 vs actual M2.3
Depth Error
10.0 km
Pred. 7.2 km vs actual 2.8 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
b07ecc6c690704ebe0c74aa701254fcc5403d81f5efc7e3544d219071b88b5e6
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260503_054621_pred-39.33--117.81-20260531T0819
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 03, 2026 12:46:24 PST
Source Batch
20260503_054621_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:12.883308+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.