Permanent Prediction Record
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Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.6
113.5 miles South-West of Rancho Palos Verdes
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
113.5 miles South-West of Rancho Palos Verdes
32.3117°N, 119.3456°W
Forecast Time Window
29th of June 2026
Jun 29, 2026 13:11:08 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.6
Predicted value
Focal Depth
8.5 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
1345h 28m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
277.6 km
177.6 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
0.7 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
1.57
Predicted M3.57 vs actual M2.0
- 0.57 over limit
Depth Error
12.7 km
Pred. 8.5 km vs actual 4.2 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
156a2c5c0b07596f270885e1d469a9dd7e598de62f467beeaae05847d4395127
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260504_044256_pred-32.31--119.35-20260629T1311
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 04, 2026 11:42:59 PST
Source Batch
20260504_044256_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:09.255022+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.