Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
6.1 miles South of Julian
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
6.1 miles South of Julian
32.9917°N, 116.6214°W
Forecast Time Window
28th of June 2026
Jun 28, 2026 14:57:07 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
7.7 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
1323h 14m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
190.7 km
90.7 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
3.2 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.30
Predicted M3.2 vs actual M2.9
Depth Error
17.3 km
Pred. 7.7 km vs actual 9.6 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
4535e456462d7400f4e3cff788820d2a10325bc28a7a09e4bf334249a0ef105b
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260504_044256_pred-32.99--116.62-20260628T1457
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 04, 2026 11:42:59 PST
Source Batch
20260504_044256_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:09.255022+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.