Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
0.9 miles East of Wildomar
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
0.9 miles East of Wildomar
33.5991°N, 117.2635°W
Forecast Time Window
14th of May 2026
May 14, 2026 04:22:02 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
8.6 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
225h 13m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
22.9 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
23.8 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.24
Predicted M2.06 vs actual M2.3
Depth Error
20.2 km
Pred. 8.6 km vs actual 11.6 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
6d47fe906dc81922c18f4fdd6597ec05140a31f177875d146de3e0dd5a7f6e3d
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260504_120805_pred-33.60--117.26-20260514T0422
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 04, 2026 19:08:08 PST
Source Batch
20260504_120805_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:10.057520+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.