Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
5.8 miles South of Julian
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
5.8 miles South of Julian
32.9991°N, 116.6309°W
Forecast Time Window
29th of June 2026
Jun 29, 2026 09:56:57 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
9.7 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
1328h 57m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
58.2 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
4.0 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
1.24
Predicted M3.24 vs actual M2.0
- 0.24 over limit
Depth Error
13.9 km
Pred. 9.7 km vs actual 4.2 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
95d5d23b774219c98819f86b0af91dfed0a7f9a694c441f2009cfc5bb74aae19
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260504_175950_pred-33.00--116.63-20260629T0956
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 05, 2026 00:59:53 PST
Source Batch
20260504_175950_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:11.154164+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.