Permanent Prediction Record
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Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
50.5 miles South-West of Rancho Palos Verdes
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
50.5 miles South-West of Rancho Palos Verdes
33.2331°N, 119.0135°W
Forecast Time Window
5th of May 2026
May 05, 2026 13:38:46 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
Predicted value
Focal Depth
9.4 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
6h 6m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
150.5 km
50.5 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
2.2 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.24
Predicted M2.44 vs actual M2.2
Depth Error
10.4 km
Pred. 9.4 km vs actual 1.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
6e92a70f6b3ace483cbbfd72dca0f524c57765c479ad26b84e575af9fd73204c
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260505_003220_pred-33.23--119.01-20260505T1338
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 05, 2026 07:32:24 PST
Source Batch
20260505_003220_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:05.292714+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.