Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
19.6 miles East of Indian Springs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
19.6 miles East of Indian Springs
36.5972°N, 115.3200°W
Forecast Time Window
15th of June 2026
Jun 15, 2026 06:44:42 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
5.6 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
977h 19m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
57.4 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
9.8 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
1.09
Predicted M3.09 vs actual M2.0
- 0.09 over limit
Depth Error
13.5 km
Pred. 5.6 km vs actual 7.9 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
6d9ffb696e622c2a353448f5ea718f913ffba10d22e259bebc10cd9a2a8b6580
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260505_062516_pred-36.60--115.32-20260615T0644
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 05, 2026 13:25:19 PST
Source Batch
20260505_062516_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:06.222406+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.