Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
3.0 miles North-West of Moreno Valley
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
3.0 miles North-West of Moreno Valley
33.9748°N, 117.2654°W
Forecast Time Window
7th of May 2026
May 07, 2026 00:32:59 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
Predicted value
Focal Depth
3.5 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
5.8 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
6.6 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.40
Predicted M2.4 vs actual M2.0
Depth Error
8.3 km
Pred. 3.5 km vs actual 4.8 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
7f1034bbf0c7507c5b47537f35b179f89016fd1edbedd11950d0ee6e39a88636
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260506_185233_pred-33.97--117.27-20260507T0032
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 07, 2026 01:52:36 PST
Source Batch
20260506_185233_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:04.443150+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.