Permanent Prediction Record
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Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
70.4 miles South-West of Rancho Palos Verdes
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
70.4 miles South-West of Rancho Palos Verdes
32.9111°N, 119.0883°W
Forecast Time Window
18th of May 2026
May 18, 2026 04:24:48 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
3.9 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
238h 13m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
139.2 km
39.2 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
13.6 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.99
Predicted M3.09 vs actual M2.1
Depth Error
13.5 km
Pred. 3.9 km vs actual 9.6 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
baa4fa5554a026d6b594c12158a44f6c754604ffd911298248ed17c9253326ab
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260507_231135_pred-32.91--119.09-20260518T0424
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 08, 2026 06:11:39 PST
Source Batch
20260507_231135_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:47:00.657955+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.