Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
25.2 miles South-West of Los Altos Hills
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
25.2 miles South-West of Los Altos Hills
37.1436°N, 122.4869°W
Forecast Time Window
12th of July 2026
Jul 12, 2026 05:29:32 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
7.0 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
1535h 36m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
129.2 km
29.2 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
7.7 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.73
Predicted M3.13 vs actual M2.4
Depth Error
12.0 km
Pred. 7.0 km vs actual 5.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
81ef4ff003036a25e6d09d22b89bddd86a9b7d63073ad54da4cc7469e7848e11
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260508_225312_pred-37.14--122.49-20260712T0529
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 09, 2026 05:53:15 PST
Source Batch
20260508_225312_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:46:57.125623+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.