Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
11.0 miles South-East of Silver Springs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
11.0 miles South-East of Silver Springs
39.3191°N, 119.0556°W
Forecast Time Window
2nd of June 2026
Jun 02, 2026 08:15:08 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
7.7 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
578h 21m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
1.0 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
15.8 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.41
Predicted M3.21 vs actual M2.8
Depth Error
22.1 km
Pred. 7.7 km vs actual 14.4 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
60d3eb3a8074a6545d7194aba49efff11fca425dda8c4ae5c3a50131c7e2a22a
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260508_225312_pred-39.32--119.06-20260602T0815
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 09, 2026 05:53:15 PST
Source Batch
20260508_225312_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:46:57.125623+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.