Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
12.9 miles South-East of Silver Springs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
12.9 miles South-East of Silver Springs
39.2446°N, 119.0992°W
Forecast Time Window
9th of June 2026
Jun 09, 2026 12:17:58 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
10.8 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
716h 48m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
8.8 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
24.5 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.40
Predicted M3.1 vs actual M2.7
Depth Error
20.2 km
Pred. 10.8 km vs actual 9.4 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
933dcbbeef4ca5859a4f24e346bcd8d18592e3917c432014d1b97c9762eded9f
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260510_082921_pred-39.24--119.10-20260609T1217
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 10, 2026 15:29:25 PST
Source Batch
20260510_082921_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:46:47.578729+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.