Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.6
8.9 miles South-East of Acton
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
8.9 miles South-East of Acton
34.3532°N, 118.1298°W
Forecast Time Window
24th of May 2026
May 24, 2026 06:45:50 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.6
Predicted value
Focal Depth
6.5 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
319h 34m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
82.0 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
17.1 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.17
Predicted M2.57 vs actual M2.4
Depth Error
8.9 km
Pred. 6.5 km vs actual 2.4 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
9f781f861d4ee2f214a21970a4e9442ed4c76f876f6363b2c35c239965660401
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260510_161124_pred-34.35--118.13-20260524T0645
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 10, 2026 23:11:28 PST
Source Batch
20260510_161124_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:46:48.384220+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.