Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
13.3 miles North-East of Huntington Lake
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
13.3 miles North-East of Huntington Lake
37.3799°N, 119.0607°W
Forecast Time Window
25th of May 2026
May 25, 2026 14:57:54 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
4.7 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
341h 57m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
26.2 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
7.5 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.02
Predicted M2.08 vs actual M2.1
Depth Error
10.9 km
Pred. 4.7 km vs actual 6.2 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
e4e835fcc1b5b9ca8a7f23bcd27079d2acd34d46d29365fb06be64ccd5ef46ab
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260511_020020_pred-37.38--119.06-20260525T1457
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 11, 2026 09:00:24 PST
Source Batch
20260511_020020_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:46:43.198965+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.