Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
4737.0 miles North-East of Wendover
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
4737.0 miles North-East of Wendover
39.2588°N, 19.4006°W
Forecast Time Window
12th of June 2026
Jun 12, 2026 22:08:40 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
13.3 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
764h 46m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
304.7 km
204.7 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
140.8 h
104.8 h over 36 h limit
Magnitude Error
0.29
Predicted M3.11 vs actual M3.4
Depth Error
18.3 km
Pred. 13.3 km vs actual 5.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
e6ce142ee3483c37c6c7a8cc55e570d37b675d956602de865959315dd85dda1c
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260511_182227_pred-39.26--19.40-20260612T2208
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 12, 2026 01:22:31 PST
Source Batch
20260511_182227_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:46:45.741267+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.