Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
9.6 miles South-East of Silver Springs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
9.6 miles South-East of Silver Springs
39.3078°N, 119.0995°W
Forecast Time Window
10th of June 2026
Jun 10, 2026 01:50:52 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
11.5 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
696h 28m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
3.9 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
11.0 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.38
Predicted M3.08 vs actual M2.7
Depth Error
20.9 km
Pred. 11.5 km vs actual 9.4 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
121600a784fcdfd652459ce422a6557caf462c6b4ee7fb8b948c936efbf33057
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260511_182227_pred-39.31--119.10-20260610T0150
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 12, 2026 01:22:31 PST
Source Batch
20260511_182227_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:46:45.741267+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.