Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.0
3.4 miles South-West of Miramonte
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
3.4 miles South-West of Miramonte
36.6542°N, 119.0997°W
Forecast Time Window
15th of June 2026
Jun 15, 2026 01:14:23 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.0
Predicted value
Focal Depth
9.0 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
803h 10m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
102.9 km
2.9 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
31.1 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.63
Predicted M3.03 vs actual M2.4
Depth Error
15.2 km
Pred. 9.0 km vs actual 6.2 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
d5eb20855dd748160edf7d88ef73dd4419d2d2bf4de451dd75091a49b1501738
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260512_070341_pred-36.65--119.10-20260615T0114
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 12, 2026 14:03:45 PST
Source Batch
20260512_070341_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:46:40.304012+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.