Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.3
20.1 miles South-East of Eureka NV
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
20.1 miles South-East of Eureka NV
39.2818°N, 115.7349°W
Forecast Time Window
29th of June 2026
Jun 29, 2026 19:30:22 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.3
Predicted value
Focal Depth
8.1 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
1157h 26m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
288.3 km
188.3 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
12.1 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.83
Predicted M3.33 vs actual M2.5
Depth Error
12.3 km
Pred. 8.1 km vs actual 4.2 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
22c9d8d1542a0d33b7f045fa4207cfad62d9ef1d88b76ebe0adcc64464229f92
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260512_070341_pred-39.28--115.73-20260629T1930
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 12, 2026 14:03:45 PST
Source Batch
20260512_070341_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:46:40.304012+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.