Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.3
5003.7 miles North-East of Wendover
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
5003.7 miles North-East of Wendover
40.3017°N, 12.0465°W
Forecast Time Window
29th of June 2026
Jun 29, 2026 19:30:22 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.3
Predicted value
Focal Depth
8.1 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
1151h 35m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
163.4 km
63.4 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
114.6 h
78.6 h over 36 h limit
Magnitude Error
0.43
Predicted M3.33 vs actual M2.9
Depth Error
18.1 km
Pred. 8.1 km vs actual 10.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
b3338c22cd04727edf2e044e44d59c6a317577278b155612bfe464d50e9d007c
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260512_125458_pred-40.30--12.05-20260629T1930
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 12, 2026 19:55:02 PST
Source Batch
20260512_125458_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:46:41.203959+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.