Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.3
8.2 miles North-West of Bombay Beach
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
8.2 miles North-West of Bombay Beach
33.4273°N, 115.8380°W
Forecast Time Window
26th of May 2026
May 26, 2026 14:10:39 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.3
Predicted value
Focal Depth
4.6 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
291h 12m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
36.0 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
30.1 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.30
Predicted M2.3 vs actual M2.0
Depth Error
9.8 km
Pred. 4.6 km vs actual 5.2 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
dce32fb007b044e275c2b6dbe4406e53146aab2271ced054fc6b37b1c857b98d
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260514_035742_pred-33.43--115.84-20260526T1410
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 14, 2026 10:57:47 PST
Source Batch
20260514_035742_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:46:30.548559+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.