Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.7
9.6 miles South-East of McFarland
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
9.6 miles South-East of McFarland
35.6090°N, 119.0808°W
Forecast Time Window
1st of June 2026
Jun 01, 2026 11:10:04 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.7
Predicted value
Focal Depth
6.4 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
432h 12m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
116.9 km
16.9 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
12.5 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.14
Predicted M2.66 vs actual M2.8
Depth Error
16.4 km
Pred. 6.4 km vs actual 10.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
4738dcc3a1efd92220b184b7faa601f5153396f3686ed2671b899dfc3f64eefd
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260514_035742_pred-35.61--119.08-20260601T1110
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 14, 2026 10:57:47 PST
Source Batch
20260514_035742_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:46:30.548559+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.