Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
1.9 miles North-West of Dublin
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
1.9 miles North-West of Dublin
37.7134°N, 121.9683°W
Forecast Time Window
1st of June 2026
Jun 01, 2026 18:51:18 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
Predicted value
Focal Depth
2.1 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
439h 53m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
70.9 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
34.7 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.07
Predicted M2.37 vs actual M2.3
Depth Error
12.1 km
Pred. 2.1 km vs actual 10.0 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
2798247586743400bdf6f51e0063f32892e6dbf3c74d32fad983184ebd1ae414
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260514_035742_pred-37.71--121.97-20260601T1851
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 14, 2026 10:57:47 PST
Source Batch
20260514_035742_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:46:30.548559+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.