Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
2.1 miles South-East of Grand Terrace
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
2.1 miles South-East of Grand Terrace
34.0104°N, 117.2898°W
Forecast Time Window
14th of June 2026
Jun 14, 2026 02:49:39 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
12.8 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
713h 8m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
15.6 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
19.3 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
1.20
Predicted M3.2 vs actual M2.0
- 0.20 over limit
Depth Error
19.4 km
Pred. 12.8 km vs actual 6.6 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
20d11ee04f5dec24952ca854718f79ea5f6f0ef08901ae8987e89ed5ffe6d3ee
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260515_024111_pred-34.01--117.29-20260614T0249
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 15, 2026 09:41:16 PST
Source Batch
20260515_024111_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:46:19.878613+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.