Permanent Prediction Record
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Outcome Pending

Prediction Pending

This prediction window has not yet elapsed. The outcome will be determined once the predicted time passes.

Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
25.5 miles West of Santa Cruz
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
25.5 miles West of Santa Cruz
36.9454°N, 122.4906°W
Forecast Time Window
23rd of August 2026
Aug 23, 2026 02:32:48 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
12.8 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
2392h 51m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Evaluation Status
⏳ Outcome Pending
The predicted event window has not yet elapsed. Once the forecast time passes, this prediction will be evaluated against real seismic records from USGS and international networks. The page will update automatically when grading is complete.
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256) RETROSPECTIVE
a4f40d33ac3669a08bea5b77ae8315700e524d2fd7013c7ea1184d0dc890acb8
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260515_024111_pred-36.95--122.49-20260823T0232
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 15, 2026 09:41:16 PST
Source Batch
20260515_024111_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:46:19.878613+00:00
Amendment History

No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.

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