Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.3
33.4 miles South-West of Eureka NV
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
33.4 miles South-West of Eureka NV
39.2803°N, 116.5117°W
Forecast Time Window
4th of June 2026
Jun 04, 2026 06:27:16 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.3
Predicted value
Focal Depth
3.0 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
466h 10m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
78.9 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
17.1 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.11
Predicted M2.31 vs actual M2.2
Depth Error
6.1 km
Pred. 3.0 km vs actual 3.1 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
b72a460068c22e4a81341cb6130bc7db3bb9cc40a1567a74b9f64ff74cd98581
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260515_131659_pred-39.28--116.51-20260604T0627
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 15, 2026 20:17:04 PST
Source Batch
20260515_131659_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:46:20.780960+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.