Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.3
26.4 miles North of Beatty
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
26.4 miles North of Beatty
37.2757°N, 116.8871°W
Forecast Time Window
4th of June 2026
Jun 04, 2026 13:46:23 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.3
Predicted value
Focal Depth
5.6 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
466h 44m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
165.1 km
65.1 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
2.8 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.02
Predicted M2.32 vs actual M2.3
Depth Error
8.7 km
Pred. 5.6 km vs actual 3.1 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
2a1fea0657f83f6ae2b4b21cb29e1d7b2f8ca9ee29f69bba9b3d809f8233fcfa
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260515_200202_pred-37.28--116.89-20260604T1346
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 16, 2026 03:02:05 PST
Source Batch
20260515_200202_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:46:24.379903+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.