Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.6
38.7 miles North-West of Eureka NV
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
38.7 miles North-West of Eureka NV
39.8870°N, 116.5072°W
Forecast Time Window
5th of June 2026
Jun 05, 2026 08:48:45 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.6
Predicted value
Focal Depth
6.5 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
477h 12m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
140.7 km
40.7 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
9.3 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.43
Predicted M2.63 vs actual M2.2
Depth Error
9.6 km
Pred. 6.5 km vs actual 3.1 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
538123c5f3eeafda04eb2528e62dd21c9895afcad9865aada58396206a4cc3a3
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260516_043608_pred-39.89--116.51-20260605T0848
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 16, 2026 11:36:11 PST
Source Batch
20260516_043608_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:46:03.961671+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.