Permanent Prediction Record
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Outcome Pending

Prediction Pending

This prediction window has not yet elapsed. The outcome will be determined once the predicted time passes.

Predicted Magnitude
M3.4
7.0 miles North of Napa
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
7.0 miles North of Napa
38.3994°N, 122.2923°W
Forecast Time Window
24th of October 2026
Oct 24, 2026 01:34:40 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.4
Predicted value
Focal Depth
10.7 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
3849h 3m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Evaluation Status
⏳ Outcome Pending
The predicted event window has not yet elapsed. Once the forecast time passes, this prediction will be evaluated against real seismic records from USGS and international networks. The page will update automatically when grading is complete.
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256) RETROSPECTIVE
553ead3d5d75bc3d972dff1e3f88a4716c489d8ffc5c0c0de55defa828fc1402
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260516_093128_pred-38.40--122.29-20261024T0134
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 16, 2026 16:31:34 PST
Source Batch
20260516_093128_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:46:05.936034+00:00
Amendment History

No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.

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