Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
7.7 miles North-East of Ventura
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
7.7 miles North-East of Ventura
34.3303°N, 119.1114°W
Forecast Time Window
1st of June 2026
Jun 01, 2026 20:17:14 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
7.2 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
373h 59m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
34.6 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
20.6 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.19
Predicted M2.19 vs actual M2.0
Depth Error
17.0 km
Pred. 7.2 km vs actual 9.8 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
7cfa1c00e655d047cfe38676a687905f1bcc6d625ebf961084476a3879d27b71
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260516_231753_pred-34.33--119.11-20260601T2017
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 17, 2026 06:17:59 PST
Source Batch
20260516_231753_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:46:16.711379+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.