Permanent Prediction Record
◯
Outcome Pending

Prediction Pending

This prediction window has not yet elapsed. The outcome will be determined once the predicted time passes.

Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
4.6 miles South-East of Carpinteria
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
4.6 miles South-East of Carpinteria
34.3409°N, 119.4784°W
Forecast Time Window
1st of December 2029
Dec 01, 2029 07:10:17 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
Predicted value
Focal Depth
7.2 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
31056h 50m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Evaluation Status
⏳ Outcome Pending
The predicted event window has not yet elapsed. Once the forecast time passes, this prediction will be evaluated against real seismic records from USGS and international networks. The page will update automatically when grading is complete.
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256) RETROSPECTIVE
25b9efdc92f8616f13e8208c61d9764b4404ac781dff354243913bb98538c30e
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260516_231951_pred-34.34--119.48-20291201T0710
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 17, 2026 06:19:57 PST
Source Batch
20260516_231951_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:46:17.773960+00:00
Amendment History

No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.

View Track Record Live Predictions