Permanent Prediction Record
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Outcome Pending

Prediction Pending

This prediction window has not yet elapsed. The outcome will be determined once the predicted time passes.

Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
4.6 miles South-East of Carpinteria
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
4.6 miles South-East of Carpinteria
34.3409°N, 119.4784°W
Forecast Time Window
16th of November 2029
Nov 16, 2029 04:04:17 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
Predicted value
Focal Depth
7.2 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
30693h 42m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Evaluation Status
⏳ Outcome Pending
The predicted event window has not yet elapsed. Once the forecast time passes, this prediction will be evaluated against real seismic records from USGS and international networks. The page will update automatically when grading is complete.
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256) RETROSPECTIVE
355186f4398df66e294def1f3dcb978394c10ee25cb1db357806cdf2af61591a
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260516_232125_pred-34.34--119.48-20291116T0404
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 17, 2026 06:21:30 PST
Source Batch
20260516_232125_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:46:18.830189+00:00
Amendment History

No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.

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