Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.6
7.1 miles East of Westgard Pass
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
7.1 miles East of Westgard Pass
37.3549°N, 117.9910°W
Forecast Time Window
6th of July 2026
Jul 06, 2026 06:38:49 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.6
Predicted value
Focal Depth
7.4 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
1186h 40m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
24.7 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
25.2 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
1.40
Predicted M3.6 vs actual M2.2
- 0.40 over limit
Depth Error
17.9 km
Pred. 7.4 km vs actual 10.5 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
3778e804ff37439a4e89c6ce45747d8b2724385246e4b4b5e6f77dcb4e0f5253
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260517_125813_pred-37.35--117.99-20260706T0638
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 17, 2026 19:58:19 PST
Source Batch
20260517_125813_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:45:52.805122+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.