Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
27.9 miles South-East of Calexico
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
27.9 miles South-East of Calexico
32.3270°N, 115.2638°W
Forecast Time Window
6th of June 2026
Jun 06, 2026 13:45:33 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
7.0 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
455h 16m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
18.1 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
15.5 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.17
Predicted M2.23 vs actual M2.4
Depth Error
17.0 km
Pred. 7.0 km vs actual 10.0 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
1e5a55015cd67b743bb60c033d9f0e5432d4e30281ab5da9c9ea9eebe18401c5
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260518_072922_pred-32.33--115.26-20260606T1345
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 18, 2026 14:29:28 PST
Source Batch
20260518_072922_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:45:41.418167+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.