Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.4
7.3 miles South of Westmorland
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
7.3 miles South of Westmorland
32.9316°N, 115.6337°W
Forecast Time Window
25th of May 2026
May 25, 2026 01:29:00 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.4
Predicted value
Focal Depth
6.8 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
154h 59m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
70.0 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
8.1 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.45
Predicted M3.35 vs actual M2.9
Depth Error
16.8 km
Pred. 6.8 km vs actual 10.0 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
c75b02e657e7e93504ed9932313d92c63c65fbc6f942a40271ffd095c2bdc79c
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260518_072922_pred-32.93--115.63-20260525T0129
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 18, 2026 14:29:28 PST
Source Batch
20260518_072922_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:45:41.418167+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.