Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.3
4.1 miles North-West of Aspendell
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
4.1 miles North-West of Aspendell
37.3885°N, 118.5622°W
Forecast Time Window
7th of June 2026
Jun 07, 2026 10:38:21 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.3
Predicted value
Focal Depth
6.9 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
476h 8m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
118.3 km
18.3 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
4.0 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.19
Predicted M2.29 vs actual M2.1
Depth Error
15.1 km
Pred. 6.9 km vs actual 8.2 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
515e6000e4580b4e8754d2be518bd5785160e7c16763eb0c6a8ec09b7f99c7f4
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260518_072922_pred-37.39--118.56-20260607T1038
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 18, 2026 14:29:28 PST
Source Batch
20260518_072922_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:45:41.418167+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.