Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
14.7 miles South-East of Dyer
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
14.7 miles South-East of Dyer
37.5499°N, 117.8258°W
Forecast Time Window
1st of June 2026
Jun 01, 2026 08:17:23 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
6.9 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
329h 47m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
59.5 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
15.3 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.08
Predicted M2.12 vs actual M2.2
Depth Error
13.9 km
Pred. 6.9 km vs actual 7.0 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
ed035b7c24e70e8a387764bdd8bc88453358c3eef21d7a6983ba331f5b4bee3e
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260518_072922_pred-37.55--117.83-20260601T0817
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 18, 2026 14:29:28 PST
Source Batch
20260518_072922_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:45:41.418167+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.