Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.5
14.0 miles North-East of Bridgeport
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
14.0 miles North-East of Bridgeport
38.4107°N, 119.0648°W
Forecast Time Window
2nd of June 2026
Jun 02, 2026 11:42:35 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.5
Predicted value
Focal Depth
6.3 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
357h 13m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
38.4 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
32.5 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.55
Predicted M2.55 vs actual M2.0
Depth Error
13.8 km
Pred. 6.3 km vs actual 7.5 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
cd81a5c6d8410e4360c40992d413beea2e5e20ef96a527f83497f12c53d8771f
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260518_072922_pred-38.41--119.06-20260602T1142
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 18, 2026 14:29:28 PST
Source Batch
20260518_072922_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:45:41.418167+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.