Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.0
3.2 miles North-West of Anza
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
3.2 miles North-West of Anza
33.5975°N, 116.6962°W
Forecast Time Window
9th of June 2026
Jun 09, 2026 00:34:03 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.0
Predicted value
Focal Depth
5.0 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
498h 16m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
16.4 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
4.1 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.17
Predicted M2.03 vs actual M2.2
Depth Error
19.1 km
Pred. 5.0 km vs actual 14.1 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
ecd1ae6c887b2e7b59957e95ee457ac6b41b54dc56524eb2150ae2454977128d
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260518_231731_pred-33.60--116.70-20260609T0034
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 19, 2026 06:17:36 PST
Source Batch
20260518_231731_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:45:49.262018+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.