Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.3
3.9 miles North-East of Lockwood Valley
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
3.9 miles North-East of Lockwood Valley
34.7925°N, 119.1054°W
Forecast Time Window
9th of June 2026
Jun 09, 2026 15:29:01 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.3
Predicted value
Focal Depth
1.3 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
513h 11m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
131.8 km
31.9 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
3.9 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.32
Predicted M2.32 vs actual M2.0
Depth Error
8.0 km
Pred. 1.3 km vs actual 6.7 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
93d6270dd11f1d45b5e0b5cdcf0f09fed254dac5d9b6aedafb37ab60abbce542
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260518_231731_pred-34.79--119.11-20260609T1529
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 19, 2026 06:17:36 PST
Source Batch
20260518_231731_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:45:49.262018+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.