Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
17.6 miles North-West of Eagle Mountain
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
17.6 miles North-West of Eagle Mountain
34.0497°N, 115.5921°W
Forecast Time Window
2nd of June 2026
Jun 02, 2026 01:32:56 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
Predicted value
Focal Depth
9.3 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
311h 37m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
127.5 km
27.5 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
26.7 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.08
Predicted M2.42 vs actual M2.5
Depth Error
24.6 km
Pred. 9.3 km vs actual 15.3 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
539979b28605b93944cbe6c0ce41ca781d1356c851b3d57a206483cb490839ff
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260519_185547_pred-34.05--115.59-20260602T0132
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 20, 2026 01:55:53 PST
Source Batch
20260519_185547_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:45:39.901548+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.