Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
12.1 miles South-East of Gabbs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
12.1 miles South-East of Gabbs
38.7165°N, 117.8098°W
Forecast Time Window
3rd of June 2026
Jun 03, 2026 13:17:14 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
9.3 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
347h 21m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
70.3 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
34.2 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.02
Predicted M2.18 vs actual M2.2
Depth Error
12.4 km
Pred. 9.3 km vs actual 3.1 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
a1d47ecd3c281956eefde79d2b98cafe4ca74ea6b9479fd3a84d884403fd2bf1
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260519_185547_pred-38.72--117.81-20260603T1317
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 20, 2026 01:55:53 PST
Source Batch
20260519_185547_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:45:39.901548+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.