Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.6
13.8 miles South-East of Silver Springs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
13.8 miles South-East of Silver Springs
39.2374°N, 119.0820°W
Forecast Time Window
5th of June 2026
Jun 05, 2026 10:07:35 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.6
Predicted value
Focal Depth
9.3 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
392h 11m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
5.8 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
1.2 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.13
Predicted M2.57 vs actual M2.7
Depth Error
19.3 km
Pred. 9.3 km vs actual 10.0 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
1b8caf3baa2b40b66f6780b82dc72abbc40ab2588c867796fdca0a27986b9fd1
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260519_185547_pred-39.24--119.08-20260605T1007
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 20, 2026 01:55:53 PST
Source Batch
20260519_185547_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:45:39.901548+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.